Victor Krasilshchikov

in Fellows

Victor Krasilshchikov graduated from the Economic faculty of Moscow State University in 1977.

Postgraduate courses of the Institute of World Economy and International Relations (IMEMO in Russian abbreviation) – 1977-1981. Obtained scientific degrees: Ph. D. in economics (1982), Dr. of Sciences (=Habilität Doctor) in economics (2002). From 1997 up today – head of research group of the Centre for Development Studies, Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations (Russian Academy of Sciences), Moscow.

Besides work at IMEMO, worked as visiting research fellow at at Maulana Abul Kalam Azad Institute of Asian Studies, Kolkata (Calcutta), (2004), guest-professor of Vienna University (the EU Erasmus Mundus Global Studies Programme, 2005-06 and 2011), visiting research fellow at Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP), Seoul (2013).

The field of research: the general problems of developing countries, the experience of catching up development of Latin American countries with focus on Brazil and East Asian industrial “tigers”.

The author of six books (two of them – in English, including one e-book, four – in Russian) and many papers.

The member of EADI (European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes, Bonn – www.eadi.org) from 2000, convener of one of the working groups of this association (2000-2017), the member of REEDES (Red Española de Estudios del Desarollo – the Spanish Network of Development Studies – www.reedes.org) from 2012.

Hobbies: 1) mountaineering (in particular, three 7000 metres peaks on the territory of the former USSR were conquered, Elbrus (5 times on each summit), Aconcagua (Argentina) and smaller mountains in Caucasus, Alps and Andes); 2) watching of ballet performances.

Research project: The Emerging Countries and the Middle-Income Trap: A Sociological Approach to the Economic Problem

The prognoses predicting the global shift of the world-system’s core to Asia as well as the new role of emerging countries have become widespread over the last 10-15 years. However, the future prospects of these countries are actually unclear. They risk to find themselves in the so-called middle-income trap with subsequent stagnation. This prospect puts all predictions about the coming East-centred world with Asian dominance under a question.

At a first glance, the steady way to avoid the middle-income trap is a technological upgrading of economies, development of scientific-technological capacities and, respectively, education and training of qualified labour force. Meanwhile, many middle-income countries have weak scientific and technological base and poor innovative capacities whereas their entrepreneurial class demonstrates a lack of interest in regard to technological and managerial innovations. Thus, the proposed research can enable to “cool” some “predictors” who like constructing conceptions of the East-centred world order, non-western (Asian) hegemony, BRICS, and so on. In opinion of the author, these conceptions ignore or, at best, underestimate the issue of social actors capable of avoiding the middle-income trap situation whereas this issue has a key significance. Indeed, many middle-income countries have sufficient resources for further development but “suffer” from a lack of social actors interested to use these resources for real economic upgrading instead of conservation of obsolete development model. In this connection, it is relevant to scrutiny not only the problem of conservatism of the privileged groups but also the resistance to changes from the side of the lower classes.

It is suggested to consider the middle-income trap problem with focus on three case studies: Brazil, Malaysia, and Thailand, the countries where this problem, as it seems to the author, appears in its “fullness”.

Dates of stay: 01 October 2018 - 31 July 2019